Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1302.002572 1478.404498 1673.816497 1907.015503 2178.606613 2485.962779 2861.589254
2025-10-12 1040.039536 1275.852164 1561.605070 1936.276810 2418.859049 3025.296971 3854.214401
2025-10-19 889.489346 1148.941871 1482.965115 1950.306474 2596.536288 3472.389141 4773.128548
2025-10-26 784.516708 1055.416145 1421.366572 1960.940201 2751.830764 3893.651242 5713.814629
2025-11-02 718.993245 1001.996118 1400.699351 2016.486904 2967.564466 4422.040719 6898.174754
2025-11-09 661.245965 950.117868 1372.267946 2051.508573 3150.770515 4921.874714 8125.334835
2025-11-16 610.820401 901.796399 1341.144706 2074.636961 3313.377352 5407.718310 9417.394010
2025-11-23 568.302852 859.982914 1313.745684 2097.551439 3474.922065 5911.958068 10838.785095
2025-11-30 535.132788 828.753308 1298.576656 2136.846574 3667.235513 6497.275674 12533.966278
2025-12-07 487.725367 769.674062 1231.301682 2077.184218 3671.145148 6729.880767 13558.531196
2025-12-14 446.222174 716.414441 1168.231904 2016.806230 3663.765324 6936.239293 14566.058710
2025-12-21 408.023297 665.368044 1104.021331 1946.624064 3626.998427 7075.460599 15449.406048
2025-12-28 395.028200 657.183718 1115.196606 2021.050616 3892.834023 7901.367124 18179.154097
2026-01-04 376.593438 637.861277 1104.585555 2052.467978 4075.808215 8583.217361 20744.885988
2026-01-11 357.732107 616.021765 1087.013527 2067.475628 4225.208406 9215.090990 23354.490378
2026-01-18 340.174128 595.019037 1068.883200 2078.851733 4367.717937 9856.444963 26176.742020
2026-01-25 329.729592 586.361476 1073.522813 2138.286897 4628.720579 10840.799759 30317.128636
2026-02-01 317.591403 573.414623 1068.387980 2175.769185 4843.436563 11749.647250 34528.031353
2026-02-08 305.044788 558.633476 1058.135205 2200.526321 5030.784309 12623.877966 38932.030461
2026-02-15 293.406849 544.712333 1048.337829 2225.057394 5221.409162 13547.932995 43852.743829
2026-02-22 284.188135 534.911559 1046.216036 2267.131428 5464.514334 14678.424488 49985.310026
2026-03-01 266.399366 506.342579 1001.765002 2203.253142 5413.811584 14912.153300 52707.493547
2026-03-08 249.922727 479.405629 958.801373 2138.628627 5352.348409 15102.480922 55340.419523